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Microsoft Cortana vs. FiveThirtyEight's Elo here are their picks for Week 1 of the NFL

In both cases, the computers are picking outright winners and are not picking against the spread. However, both give a likelihood of teams winning which, in theory, could help measure the strength of certain lines.

We will be tracking both models over the course of the season to see how they perform.

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In the meantime, here are the picks for Week 1, with each model's percent chance of winning in parentheses. Games in bold are where the two models disagree on who has the best chance to win. Point spreads are just for reference, via Vegas Insider as of Thursday morning.

  • — BILLS (Elo 64%, Cortana 70%)
  • — FALCONS (Elo 72%, Cortana 52%)
  • — TEXANS (Elo 74%, Cortana 64%)
  • — LIONS (Elo 54%, Cortana 53%)
  • Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans (-2.5) — RAIDERS (Elo 51%), TITANS (Cortana 53%)
  • — BENGALS (Elo 63%, Cortana 61%)
  • — STEELERS (Elo 76%, Cortana 52%)
  • — COLTS (Elo 57%, Cortana 57%)
  • — PACKERS (Elo 61%, Cortana 60%)
  • Carolina Panthers (-5.5) at San Francisco 49ers — PANTHERS (Elo 65%), 49ERS (Cortana 61%)
  • — COWBOYS (Elo 65%, Cortana 58%)

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  • — VIKINGS (Elo 59%, Cortana 58%)
  • — BRONCOS (Elo 74%, Cortana 55%)

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Tandra Barner

Update: 2024-08-04